全球屏息！避险资金涌入黄金市场 国内期货市场买爆了 ...
<div class="middlevideobg" data-id="av-player0" data-value="1#4675832"><div preload="auto" class="emav emav-paused emav-big-play-centered emav-big-play-button-on-paused emav-tech-flash-not-enable emav-env-chrome av-player0-dimensions emav-using-Html5-tech emav-controls-enabled emav-workinghover emav-v-1-1-4 emav-user-active" id="av-player0" tabindex="-1" lang="en" role="region" aria-label="Video Player"><video id="av-player0_html5_api" class="emav-tech" preload="auto" tabindex="-1" poster="https://emav-1252033264.cos.ap-chongqing.myqcloud.com/roadshow_cover/channel/4675832/BC056234/4675832_w480h360.jpg" src="blob:https://finance.eastmoney.com/78c4135d-e168-4b6c-9c28-69b5c4b3c7d5"></video><div class="emav-paused-view" tabindex="-1" aria-disabled="false"></div><div class="emav-fast-x-ward" aria-hidden="true"><div class="emav-fast-x-direction" tabindex="0"><span aria-hidden="true" class="emav-icon-placeholder"></span></div><div class="emav-fast-x-timeline"><div class="timeline-current-time">00:00</div><div class="timeline-split">/</div><div class="timeline-duration">00:00</div></div></div><div class="emav-text-track-display" aria-live="off" aria-atomic="true"></div><div class="emav-loading-spinner" dir="ltr"><span class="emav-control-text">Video Player is loading.</span></div><button class="emav-big-play-button" type="button" title="Play Video" aria-disabled="false"><span aria-hidden="true" class="emav-icon-placeholder"></span><span class="emav-control-text" aria-live="polite">Play Video</span></button><div class="emav-control-bar" dir="ltr"><button class="emav-play-control emav-control emav-button" type="button" title="Play" aria-disabled="false"><span aria-hidden="true" class="emav-icon-placeholder"></span><span class="emav-control-text" aria-live="polite">Play</span></button><div class="emav-volume-panel emav-control emav-volume-panel-horizontal"><button class="emav-mute-control emav-control emav-button emav-vol-3" type="button" title="Mute" aria-disabled="false"><span aria-hidden="true" class="emav-icon-placeholder"></span><span class="emav-control-text" aria-live="polite">Mute</span></button><div class="emav-volume-control emav-control emav-volume-horizontal"><div tabindex="0" class="emav-volume-bar emav-slider-bar emav-slider emav-slider-horizontal" role="slider" aria-valuenow="100" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100" aria-label="Volume Level" aria-live="polite" aria-valuetext="100%"><div class="emav-volume-level"><span class="emav-control-text"></span></div></div></div></div><div class="emav-current-time emav-time-control emav-control"><span class="emav-control-text" role="presentation">Current Time </span><span class="emav-current-time-display" aria-live="off" role="presentation">0:00</span></div><div class="emav-time-control emav-time-divider" aria-hidden="true"><div><span>/</span></div></div><div class="emav-duration emav-time-control emav-control"><span class="emav-control-text" role="presentation">Duration </span><span class="emav-duration-display" aria-live="off" role="presentation">26:08</span></div><div class="emav-progress-control emav-control"><div tabindex="0" class="emav-progress-holder emav-slider emav-slider-horizontal" role="slider" aria-valuenow="0.00" aria-valuemin="0" aria-valuemax="100" aria-label="Progress Bar" aria-valuetext="00:00 of 26:08"><div class="emav-load-progress" style="width: 2.54869%;"><span class="emav-control-text"><span>Loaded</span>: <span class="emav-control-text-loaded-percentage">2.55%</span></span><div style="left: 0.116154%; 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captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-ProportionalSerif">Proportional Serif</option><option id="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-MonospaceSerif" value="monospaceSerif" aria-labelledby="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329 captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-MonospaceSerif">Monospace Serif</option><option id="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-Casual" value="casual" aria-labelledby="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329 captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-Casual">Casual</option><option id="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-Script" value="script" aria-labelledby="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329 captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-Script">Script</option><option id="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-SmallCaps" value="small-caps" aria-labelledby="captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329 captions-font-family-av-player0_component_329-SmallCaps">Small Caps</option></select></fieldset></div><div class="emav-track-settings-controls"><button type="button" class="emav-default-button" title="restore all settings to the default values">Reset<span class="emav-control-text"> restore all settings to the default values</span></button><button type="button" class="emav-done-button">Done</button></div></div><button class="emav-close-button emav-control emav-button" type="button" aria-disabled="false" title="Close Modal Dialog"><span aria-hidden="true" class="emav-icon-placeholder"></span><span class="emav-control-text" aria-live="polite">Close Modal Dialog</span></button><p class="emav-control-text">End of dialog window.</p></div><div class="emav-toast" tabindex="-1" aria-describedby="av-player0_component_362_description" aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Toast" role="dialog"><div class="emav-toast-content" role="document"><span class="emav-toast-text"></span></div></div></div></div><p style="display:none;height:1px;overflow:hidden;"><br></p><!-- EM_Adv_Module_Start --><center style="text-align:left;"><div class="em_adv_mods" type="1" tag="56" name="%u9EC4%u91D1%u5B9D" style="display:none;"></div></center><!-- EM_Adv_Module_End --><p style="display:none;height:1px;overflow:hidden;"> </p><!-- EM_StockImg_Start --><p style="text-align: center; font-size: 15px; line-height: 31px;" class="clearp single-chart"></p><!-- EM_StockImg_End --><p> 美国全面对等征税正在引发市场资金涌入黄金市场避险。<br></p><p> 3月31日，全球金融市场上演经典避险行情，大量资金涌入黄金、日元、美债等传统避险板块。纽约黄金期货价格最高达到3162美元/盎司，刷新历史高点；美元兑日元跌至149关口下方，而10年期美债收益率暴跌超6个基点至4.18%。而国内黄金期货市场，有超过11亿元资金流入。</p><p> 业内人士表示，随着全球贸易体系不稳定加剧，今年第二季度金价出现明显回调的可能性仍然较低，资金避险倾向仍然居于高位，黄金行情可能仍未结束。</p><p> <strong>国内黄金期货流入超11亿元</strong></p><p> 随着4月2日美国实施对等征税的临近，全球金融市场避险情绪越发高涨。3月31日周一，市场上黄金闪耀、日元狂舞、美债收益率下滑三大信号同时闪现，市场已对潜在风险拉响最高级别警报。</p><p> 3月31日，纽约期货交易所（COMEX）黄金期货价格，盘中一度刷新历史高点至3162美元/盎司，再创历史纪录新高。伦敦现货黄金盘中一度至3128美元/盎司，今年以来，全球现货黄金的累计涨幅已经超过18%，大幅跑赢全球股市主要股指，是表现最好的资产之一。</p><p> 国内黄金期货主力合约盘中最高达到732.10元/克，现货黄金T+D以最高价收盘达到730.60元/克。值得注意的是，在商品期货市场上，黄金成为市场为数不多的资金净流入板块。3月31日，黄金期货市场有超过11亿元资金流入，而有色板块则出现资金净流出，其中沪铜成资金撤离重灾区，沉淀资金流出逾9亿，铜价的下跌也导致铜业个股大幅跳水，<span id="stock_0.000737">北方铜业</span><span id="quote_0.000737"></span>、<span id="stock_0.000630">铜陵有色</span><span id="quote_0.000630"></span>、<span id="stock_0.000878">云南铜业</span><span id="quote_0.000878"></span>跌幅靠前。</p><p style="display:none;height:1px;overflow:hidden;"><br></p><!-- EM_StockImg_Start --><p style="text-align: center; font-size: 15px; line-height: 31px;" class="clearp single-chart"></p><p> 全新妙想投研助理，立即体验</p><!-- EM_StockImg_End --><p> 黄金之外，传统避险资产也在发威。3月31日，美元兑日元一度跌至149关口下方，而10年期美债收益率则一度暴跌超6个基点，至4.18%，此前上周五已暴跌达到了11.22个基点。<br></p><p> <strong>黄金二季度行情可能仍未结束</strong></p><p> 尽管3个月涨幅已经超18%，但是在当下的国际环境中，市场普遍预计黄金回调的概率仍然偏低。</p><p> <span id="stock_1.600030">中信证券</span><span id="quote_1.600030"></span>指出，近期黄金价格再创新高，主要是海外市场衰退交易与关税恐慌交易所致。综合通胀、增长、关税、地缘等多个因素来看，当前黄金行情难言结束。二季度至年中，海外市场或持续出现类滞胀交易的主线，并利好黄金表现，而关税和地缘冲突对黄金的扰动仍未到终点，在不确定性情绪积聚以及释放以前，上述因素对黄金的驱动难言结束。</p><p> 资金涌入黄金类ETF成为支持金价走高的重要因素。根据世界黄金协会的数据，今年全球黄金ETF全球净流入超过190亿美元（约合207吨），使2025年首季成为自2022年以来最强劲的第一季度。根据世界黄金协会的统计，印度市场今年前两个月黄金ETF净流入高达573亿卢比（约合48亿元人民币）规模，增幅超过1倍，成为仅次于中国的全球第二大黄金投资者。</p><p> 目前，国内市场上的14只黄金ETF产品总规模已经逼近千亿级别，其中黄金ETF华夏(518850)，3月31日盘中净值一度突破7.007元，成为赛道首只破7产品，该基金连续7天资金净流入，最新规模已突破24亿元，创历史新高。</p><p style="text-align:center;"></p><p> <strong>黄金交投或还没到历史“最拥挤”区间</strong></p><p> 在市场资金避险热情高涨之际，美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）黄金基金净多头持仓则出现先升后降态势，总体维持震荡格局，显示黄金市场整体交投规模以及热度并未达到历史“最拥挤”区间，资金仍有进一步加仓的空间。</p><p> 根据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)报告显示，截至3月25日当周，投机者所持COMEX黄金净多头头寸下降7470手合约，至192687手合约。COMEX白银期货投机性净多头寸减少3839手至45806手。COMEX铜期货投机性净多头寸增加11223手至33626手。</p><p> 由于黄金价格涨势不断，已促使多家<span id="bk_90.BK0475">银行</span><span id="bkquote_90.BK0475"></span>上调其对2025年的价格预估。<span id="stock_106.GS">高盛</span><span id="quote_106.GS"></span>集团、<span id="stock_106.BAC">美国银行</span><span id="quote_106.BAC"></span>和<span id="stock_106.UBS">瑞银集团</span><span id="quote_106.UBS"></span>在近期都上调黄金目标价，高盛预测，到今年年底，金价将升至3300美元，此前预估为3100美元。美国银行预计，2025年金价将达到3063美元/盎司，2026年将达到3350美元/盎司，高于此前预测的2750美元/盎司和2625美元/盎司。</p><p class="em_media">（文章来源：<span id="bk_90.BK0473">证券</span><span id="bkquote_90.BK0473"></span>时报网）</p> 全球贸易体系不稳定加剧，资金避险倾向高位，黄金行情可能持续。 该撤了！ 避险谁会进入股市呢，不论哪里的股市，黄金硬通货了，没什么稀奇 红利的时间 跌的差不多 再上科技 就是这个循环 其他血包 这个新闻一出来，就很有意思了
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